The Fed may have to blow up the economy to get inflation under control

The Fed may have to blow up the economy to get inflation under control

A version of this story first appeared in CNN Business’ Before the Bell newsletter. Not a subscriber? You can sign up right here.


New York
CNN Business
 — 

The Federal Reserve is most likely going to raise interest rates by three quarters of a percentage point again on Wednesday, its fourth straight supersized hike. And it’s still possible another rate increase of that magnitude could come in December.

But the big question for many investors – and American consumers – is whether the Fed will send the economy into a recession with these massive rate increases.

There are hopes that any downturn would be mild, but this is uncharted territory for the Fed. Former central bank chairs Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke and current Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen never had to raise rates this many times in a row by such large amounts.

It’s unclear what all this tightening will do to the economy. The housing market is already starting to show some signs of strain. Bond yields have spiked due to the Fed. And mortgage rates, which tend to move in tandem with the benchmark 10-year Treasury, have skyrocketed this year as a result.

There is also a growing chorus of Democratic lawmakers on Capitol Hill who are warning Fed chair Jerome Powell and other Fed members to slow down the rate hikes because they fear even tighter monetary policy will lead to a recession.

But as long as the jobs market remains healthy the Fed is probably going to continue to focus solely on its price stability mandate and ignore all that stuff about maximum employment.

“The Fed has got more work to do,” said Steve Wyett, chief investment strategist at BOK Financial. “Inflation pressures take longer to come out of the system.”

The solid rebound in gross domestic product, or GDP, in the third quarter following two straight quarters of economic contraction may also quiet some (but not all) recession worriers. That could also prompt the Fed to continue its aggressive rate hiking stance…even if such a policy risks causing a recession down the road.

The worry is that the Fed may be choosing to look more at current economic data and isn’t thinking enough about the lag effect of its existing rate hikes. Inflation in the US economy may not have peaked yet, but there is a growing sense that we’re pretty darn close to that.

“It is critical that policymakers…prepare for a slowdown in demand as the lagged impact of rising interest rates and inflation begins to exert a powerful downward pull on economic activity,” Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at RSM US, said in a report. He added that the economy “clearly is at risk of falling into recession in the near term.”

There’s another factor at play that could lead the Fed to raise rates sharply at its next two meetings and then slow down its pace.

Every year, there is a rotation of regional Fed presidents who get votes at the central bank’s policy meetings. The next change will take place before the Fed’s first meeting in 2023, which concludes on February 1. Experts point out that some of the new voting members may not be as inclined to support such large rate increases as the current roster of regional presidents on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

So there could be a shift from a more hawkish stance, (one likely to support higher rates) to another that is more dovish, (inclined to caution against future hikes.)

“The policy temperament of the committee turns less hawkish in 2023. Sensing a closing window of opportunity, the more hawkish voting roster of this year may seek to do more while they still can, i.e. more front-loading,” said BNP Paribas Securities US economists Carl Riccadonna and Andy Schneider in a report.

The Fed meeting takes place just two days before the nation will get its next report card on the labor market. Economists are forecasting a slowdown in job growth, but not a substantial one.

According to estimates from Reuters, experts predict that 200,000 jobs were added in October, down from jobs gains of 263,000 in September. (That September figure will likely be revised, however.)

The unemployment rate, which fell to 3.5{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} in September, is expected to have ticked up to 3.6{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} this month. But that’s still near a half-century low.

The numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics count both private sector and government jobs. Another jobs report, from payroll processor ADP, is also due out next week, and this one looks just at Corporate America.

According to forecasts, economists expect the ADP numbers will show a further slowing down of hiring among businesses, with 190,000 jobs in September added compared to 208,000 a month earlier.

Even if the pace of hiring is starting to slow, it’s clear that the labor market remains tight. Wages have grown at an above average pace, albeit not as fast as inflation.

The government said in the September jobs report that average hourly earnings rose 5{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} in the past 12 months. The Fed typically prefers to see wage growth in the 2{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} to 3{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} annual range as a sign that inflation is under control.

According to figures released Friday, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the so-called personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, showed that prices were up 6.2{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} in the past 12 months through September.

So a more dramatic slowdown in wage growth seems unlikely as long as the job market remains robust and consumer prices keep shooting higher.

“The pace of hiring is very high, unsustainable, and is pushing up wages and inflation,” economists at The Hamilton Project, a policy research group at the Brookings Institution, said in a recent report.

Monday: EU GDP; Eurozone inflation; earnings from Goodyear

(GT)
, Aflac

(AFL)
and Avis Budget

(CAR)

Tuesday: US ISM manufacturing index; earnings from BP

(BP)
, Pfizer

(PFE)
, Uber

(UBER)
, Eli Lilly

(LLY)
, Fox

(FOXA)
, Prudential

(PRU)
, Mondelez

(MDLZ)
, AIG

(AIG)
, AMD

(AMD)
, Caesars

(CZR)
, Clorox

(CLX)
and Electronic Arts

(EA)

Wednesday: Fed rate decision; ADP jobs report; Germany PMI; earnings from CVS

(CVS)
, Humana

(HUM)
, Paramount, Yum

(YUM)
, Ferrari

(RACE)
, MetLife

(MET)
, Allstate

(ALL)
, Qualcomm

(QCOM)
, Booking

(BKNG)
, eBay

(EBAY)
, MGM

(MGM)
, Roku

(ROKU)
and Etsy

(ETSY)

Thursday: Bank of England rate decision; US weekly jobless claims; US ISM services index; earnings from Cigna

(CI)
, ConocoPhillips

(COP)
, Marriott

(MAR)
, Kellogg

(K)
, Moderna

(MRNA)
, Royal Caribbean

(RCL)
, Wayfair

(W)
, CNN owner Warner Bros. Discovery, Starbucks

(SBUX)
, PayPal

(PYPL)
, Amgen

(AMGN)
and Block

(SQ)

Friday: US jobs report; earnings from Cardinal Health

(CAH)
, Duke Energy

(DUK)
and Hershey

(HSY)

Elon Musk tweets a conspiracy theory about attack on Paul Pelosi

Elon Musk tweets a conspiracy theory about attack on Paul Pelosi



CNN
 — 

Elon Musk on Sunday gave credence to a fringe conspiracy idea about the violent attack on Paul Pelosi.

The new Twitter owner tweeted a website link to an post complete of baseless statements about Pelosi. The write-up was posted on a web page that purports to be a news outlet.

Musk, who has 112 million followers on the system he now owns, posted the baseless story about Pelosi in response to a tweet from Hilary Clinton at 8:15 am ET. He later deleted the tweet about 2 pm, but not right before racking up additional than 28,000 retweets and 100,000 likes.

Linking to a Los Angeles Instances tale about Pelosi’s alleged attacker, Clinton wrote, “The Republican Celebration and its mouthpieces now frequently distribute despise and deranged conspiracy theories. It is shocking, but not astonishing, that violence is the consequence. As citizens, we have to hold them accountable for their terms and the actions that stick to.”

In reaction, Musk joined to the baseless tale, and wrote, “There is a tiny possibility there might be much more to this tale than satisfies the eye.”

In 2016 the identical website falsely claimed that Clinton had died and that the man or woman on the presidential campaign trail was not Clinton but her physique double.

Musk’s post comes amid considerations about how the billionaire will run Twitter and if misinformation and dislike will be offered a larger system on the internet site.

A Twitter spokesperson did not quickly return a CNN request for remark.

Musk’s takeover — which was finalized Thursday evening — not only has the likely to make upheaval for Twitter

(TWTR)
employees but also for the hundreds of hundreds of thousands of men and women all around the world who use the system daily. It could also influence the approaching US midterm elections, if Musk makes superior on his promise to restore the accounts of people who were previously banned from the system, most notably previous US President Donald Trump, and limit the company’s content material constraints.

In the initial weeks after agreeing to obtain the business in April, and just before his preliminary shift to bail on the offer, Musk consistently pressured that his aim was to bolster “free speech” on the platform and get the job done to “unlock” Twitter’s “extraordinary probable.” The Tesla CEO recommended he would rethink Twitter’s strategy to information moderation and long lasting bans, with probable impacts on civil discourse and the political landscape. He also talked about his want to rid the platform of bots, even as he afterwards manufactured the selection of bots central to his argument to abandon the offer.

CNN’s Clare Duffy contributed to this report

Fuel company issues diesel shortage warning, says conditions ‘rapidly devolving’

Fuel company issues diesel shortage warning, says conditions ‘rapidly devolving’

A key gas source and logistics firm is elevating a red flag on future diesel fuel shortages.

Mansfield Electrical power issued the inform Friday stating there was a establishing diesel fuel scarcity in the southeastern location of the United States. The business speculated that the scarcity could be created from “poor pipeline shipping and delivery economies” and a traditionally lower supply of diesel reserves.

“Very poor pipeline delivery economics and historically small diesel inventories are combining to result in shortages in numerous markets all over the Southeast,” the company mentioned. “These have been transpiring sporadically, with parts like Tennessee observing particularly acute challenges.”

EUROPE’S Electrical power Disaster RAISES FIREWOOD Price ranges, THEFT FEARS

Gas station prices in California

Visitors drives earlier a fuel station in Los Angeles, California, on Oct 19, 2022. Significant gas prices are threatening the U.S. economic system and also feeding voter anger at the administration two weeks in advance of midterm elections to choose regulate of Congress. (FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP via Getty Images / Getty Photos)

States that are envisioned to expertise major consequences of the scarcity include Maryland, Virginia, Alabama, Ga, Tennessee, North Carolina and South Carolina.

The Biden administration says it is trying to keep a shut look at on diesel inventories and functioning to raise materials, adhering to information that reserves have been depleted and could run out in less than a thirty day period if not replenished, sparking fears of shortages and increasing price ranges.

SAUDI Electricity MINISTER SLAMS Release OF OIL RESERVES AS ‘MECHANISM TO MANIPULATE MARKETS’

The Vitality Data Administration (EIA) described this week that, as of Oct. 14, the U.S. had only 25 days of reserve diesel offer, a small not viewed because 2008. National Financial Council Director Brian Deese acknowledged to Bloomberg that the stage is “unacceptably minimal” and that “all possibilities are on the desk” to handle the scenario.

“Since circumstances are speedily devolving and market economics are changing significantly every day, Mansfield is going to Alert Level 4 to address sector volatility,” Mansfield’s press statement explained. 

President Biden talks about "junk" fees at the White House

President Biden announces his administration’s designs to get rid of junk expenses for people, Oct. 26, 2022, in the South Court docket Auditorium on the White House campus in Washington.  (AP Picture/Patrick Semansky, file / AP Newsroom)

The organization continued, “Mansfield is also going the Southeast to Code Pink, requesting 72-hour discover for deliveries when doable to ensure fuel and freight can be secured at inexpensive stages.”

GET FOX Business enterprise ON THE GO BY CLICKING Listed here

The Northeast Household Heating Oil Reserve (NEHHOR) retains approximately just one million barrels of household heating oil. House Democrats from New England are inquiring President Biden to launch some of those reserves to aid lessen house heating costs in the area, leading into the wintertime months.

But gurus say the creating dwelling heating oil lack is not going away at any time soon.

FOX Business’ Breck Dumas contributed to this report.

Trump to stay on his Truth Social amid Elon Musk Twitter takeover

Trump to stay on his Truth Social amid Elon Musk Twitter takeover

Special: Previous President Donald Trump wished Elon Musk the most effective with Twitter but stressed he will continue to be on his possess Truth Social, a social media platform he touts as “improved,” “harmless” and that feels “like residence.”

Musk on Thursday concluded his $44 billion acquisition of Twitter, tweeting right before midnight that “the hen is freed” and updating his bio to designate himself as the “Main Twit.”

In an unique job interview with Fox Information Electronic on Friday, Trump said, “I like Elon and I would like him a lot of luck. I hope he does effectively with it.”

Even so, Trump included, “I do not think Twitter can be successful devoid of me.” Should really Musk elevate Trump’s life time ban on Twitter, the previous president’s account would technically be lively. Trump declined to remark on if he would ever use it yet again.

Musk has suggested that he would loosen written content moderation practices for Twitter and would reduce life time bans from the platform, but Trump informed Fox Information Electronic that the new plan will not affect how he utilizes social media.

“I am being on Real truth. I like it better, I like the way it will work, I like Elon, but I’m staying on Reality,” he instructed Fox News Digital.

ELON MUSK TWEETS ‘THE Hen IS FREED’ Just after FINALIZING $44 BILLION ACQUISITION

Trump was completely suspended from Twitter, Fb, Instagram and Snapchat next the Jan. 6, 2021 Capitol riot. Twitter deemed a quantity of his tweets linked to the violent protests as inflammatory and warned of “the danger of more incitement of violence.”

Trump instructed Fox News Digital that “terminating” him from Facebook, Twitter and other social media corporations in 2021 was “one of the worst choices produced in business enterprise in the past two several years,” pointing to “how poorly these platforms are carrying out.” 

Former President Donald Trump speaks in the East Space of the White Residence in Washington, D.C., on Nov. 4, 2020. (AP Picture/Evan Vucci)

“Facebook is now down $80 billion and uninteresting,” Trump stated. “Twitter has been taken over, and, if it wasn’t for me, it would have under no circumstances been taken above. No a single would have even imagined about it.”

Trump explained to Fox News Electronic that when he commenced using Twitter, it was “a failing procedure.”

“I created Twitter sizzling 12 a long time back, I made Twitter warm,” he claimed. “And then when they terminated, it became cold, and that is what transpired.”

TRUMP WILL NOT RETURN TO TWITTER EVEN AS ELON MUSK Buys Platform, WILL Commence Applying HIS Very own Truth of the matter SOCIAL

Trump, pointing to Facebook mum or dad corporation Meta Platforms Inc.’s plunge in inventory cost — the least expensive considering the fact that February 2016 — and Twitter, stated “engagements are way down and everything else due to the fact I left.”

“And if you bear in mind, 12 yrs in the past, Twitter was a failed company,” he reported. “It was only when I got on that it grew to become thriving.”

A photo illustration with Elon Musk

A picture illustration with Twitter proprietor Elon Musk. (Getty Illustrations or photos/iStock / Getty Photos)

Trump, following being terminated, established the Trump Media & Technologies Team (TMTG), which launched in October 2021. TMTG’s social media system, Truth of the matter Social, formally introduced earlier this calendar year.

Trump’s comments Friday are in line with comments he created solely to Fox News Electronic in April, when Musk initial signaled he would acquire the platform. Trump, at the time, said he would not return to Twitter and would keep on Reality Social.

Trump's Truth Social platform

Former President Donald Trump leaves Trump Tower in Manhattan on May perhaps 18, 2021.  (James Devaney/GC Photos | Application retailer / Getty Photos)

“I want to continue to be on Truth — Real truth is much better,” Trump explained to Fox Information Electronic on Friday. “I like it improved, it is better to my eye, and very last week, it was bigger than TikTok. It was number just one final 7 days.” 

Before this month, Google extra Truth of the matter Social to the Google Perform retailer.

When Reality Social was additional to Google Engage in, it was the No. 1 downloaded application in the retail outlet — forward of TikTok, Amazon, WhatsApp and Instagram, and remained in that location for virtually a week.

Fact SOCIAL NOW Out there IN SAMSUNG GALAXY Retail store

Previous thirty day period, Samsung extra the application to its Samsung Galaxy store, and earlier this yr, Apple added Real truth Social to its App Retail store. During its beta screening, and again when it opened to the public, Fact Social was also ranked No. 1 and the maximum-position totally free application on the App Retail store in the U.S.

Trump, who has hinted at a 2024 White Property run, told Fox Information Digital on Friday that Truth of the matter Social would be his primary platform ought to he launch a campaign.

“If I choose to run, I will only use Reality,” he stated. “When I set out a Real truth, it is all about the put.”

Truth Social logo on phone

The Truth social network logo is viewed displayed in this image illustration taken Feb. 21, 2022. (REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration / Reuters Pictures)

“When I place a Fact out, it goes all in excess of the put in any case,” Trump mentioned. “All people who is on Twitter and on all the other areas, they all set it out anyway.”

He added, “I utilized to just set out general public PR statements, and you know what, they have been picked up.”

Meanwhile, TMTG’s plan is to grow to be a publicly shown enterprise via a merger with the publicly traded Electronic World Acquisition Corp., a special goal acquisition business (SPAC) whose sole purpose is to obtain a non-public company and consider it general public.

GOOGLE APPROVES TRUMP’S Truth SOCIAL FOR DISTRIBUTION IN GOOGLE Perform

The SPAC is currently below investigation by the SEC, chaired by former Hillary Clinton marketing campaign finance chair Gary Gensler, around irrespective of whether there was pre-targeting of the offer and whether it had by now recognized TMTG as its focus on company just before heading public. 

The SPAC is established to expire in December, but if it places down roughly $3 million, it could increase itself for quite a few months or a yr.

TMTG, whose CEO is previous Rep. Devin Nunes, is nonetheless a personal firm and has not yet merged with the SPAC.

Resources close to Trump and Reality Social instructed Fox News Digital that if the SPAC does not prolong, Trump will retain it private, one thing that could be preferable to the previous president as it has come to be “marketable.”

Trump, in a Reality Social post early Friday, stated Fact Social “has develop into to some degree of a phenomena.” 

“I am incredibly satisfied that Twitter is now in sane palms, and will no extended be run by Radical Left Lunatics and Maniacs that definitely detest our state,” Trump Truthed. “Twitter should now do the job tough to rid by itself of all of the bots and faux accounts that have damage it so poorly. It will be substantially lesser, but better.” 

He extra: “I Like Fact!” 

Rivian owners can’t help but gush about their trucks, flaws and all

Rivian owners can’t help but gush about their trucks, flaws and all


Washington, DC
CNN
 — 

Denis Wang says he always hated the car-buying process — until he met Rivian.

Buying the automaker’s R1T electric pickup was so wonderful that he says he drove 45 minutes to Rivian’s Irvine, California, office to take the Rivian employee who shepherded him through his purchase out for coffee. (Rivian pairs new buyers with a “guide” who answers any questions during the process.)

Wang said he brought a thank you card, and a $100 gift card to REI, knowing that his guide had a trip to South America coming up.

“I felt like I kind of owed it to him,” Wang told CNN Business. “He was really invested in this whole process and wanted to make sure I had a great experience.”

For example, Wang said his guide remembered a configuration of the R1T he was initially interested in, and found a vehicle that matched it and offered it to Wang so he could receive his truck sooner.

Wang, like many new Rivian owners, praised Rivian’s customer service and the quality of the vehicles.

They say their Rivians are among the very best vehicles they’ve ever owned, if not the best. Some compared their Rivians — which can reach 60 mph in about 3 seconds — to driving a sports car. The vehicles have flaws, including a recall impacting nearly every Rivian earlier this month, but fewer than they say they would expect from a new automaker. At least one Rivian owner has had the company reach out to them after posting on an online forum about an issue with their truck.

“I thought Tesla set the bar, and it still does in certain aspects,” said Wang, who has never owned a truck before. “The Rivian is probably my favorite vehicle.”

A Rivian R1T leaves the assembly line at its manufacturing plant in Normal, Illinois.

Rivian, founded in 2009 by MIT-trained engineer RJ Scaringe, went public in 2021 as one of the largest IPOs ever, raising $11.9 billion, only two months after its first vehicles for customers were manufactured. Companies like Ford and Amazon have invested in it. Many auto experts say it’s the best positioned of a group of electric vehicle startups hoping to compete with Tesla and incumbents like Toyota, Volkswagen and General Motors.

It’s faced growing pains as it’s launched three vehicles at once — the R1T, the R1S SUV, and a delivery van for Amazon. Deliveries have been delayed. Rivian’s stock has fallen 66{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} this year as the value of electric vehicle makers has dropped broadly. Rivian laid off 6{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} of its workers this July.

CNN Business interviewed 13 Rivian owners to hear how satisfied they are with their vehicles, which can cost roughly $100,000, depending on what options are included.

Matt Thomson was nervous to pick up his R1T earlier this year. He’d never even test driven the pickup. He’d waited more than three years for it since placing a deposit, and wondered if it could live up to the hype.

Thomson picked up his R1T at a Denver-area service center and drove it home. On the dirt road leading to his ranch, a problem emerged.

Thomson parked his R1T at home and as his family looked on, tried to demonstrate the pickup’s automatic bed cover that opens and closes with the push of a button.

But it jammed as dirt and gravel had gotten stuck in it, he said.

Many Rivian owners describe similar problems with the feature. Some owners say they’re keeping the feature lubricated with WD-40 or graphite to prevent it from breaking. Some describe avoiding use of the cover or handling it delicately to try to prevent issues.

“As you likely know, there are issues with our powered tonneau cover,” Rivian emailed owners in September. “While most are operating as intended, many are not.”

It’s since stopped shipping the feature and has said it’s working on a solution.

“That was a big flop on their part,” Thomson said. “But if that’s the worst thing that’s going to happen on a brand new car company, I’m going to be okay with that.”

He says his Rivian tows his horse and donkey trailer better than his last vehicle, a 2020 GMC Sierra. Thomson was one of several owners who say it’s so smooth that they almost forget they’re towing something. Thomson said he loves the suspension, which automatically adjusts to stay level while loaded up, rather than leaning awkwardly backward like his old trucks.

“I’ve had BMWs, Lexuses, everything else. Nothing is even remotely comparable to the way this one drives,” Thomson said. “Literally everything about it has just been over the top. I couldn’t be more satisfied than I am.”

Thomson said he’s saving roughly $650-$700 on fuel costs a month and taking more day trips with his family because he’s not worried about the cost.

Oregon resident Phil Barnhart owns a Tesla Model S Plaid that he calls “an absolute masterpiece of technological achievement.” The sedan starts at $135,990 and goes 0-60 mph in 1.99 seconds, faster than a Lamborghini.

He says he owns stock in Tesla, and was an early owner of Tesla’s breakout vehicle, the 2012 Model S, which put the automaker on the map and was the Motor Trend Car of the Year.

But these days Barnhart finds himself driving his new R1T pickup more than the Tesla Model S Plaid.

“It’s the perfect ‘dad car,’” he says of his R1T. He often chauffeurs three kids, their friends, sporting equipment and the family dog, in what’s essentially a mid-size pickup on par with a Toyota Tacoma or Ford Ranger.

Rivian owners have generally praised the R1T's features, including the gear tunnel for extra storage.

He was one of several owners who spoke highly of Rivian’s “gear tunnel,” an extra storage compartment that’s located behind the R1T’s second row. They say it’s well suited to stowing things like sports equipment or food. The gear tunnel’s door also doubles as a convenient seat for when putting on or taking off shoes, they say.

Barnhart was one of several Rivian owners who said they were pleased with how accurately Rivian estimates its vehicles range.

“The Tesla range estimate is very aspirational,” Barnhart said. “The Rivian range estimate is actually informative.”

Barnhart believes Rivian’s first vehicle, the R1T, is clearly better than Tesla’s first wide-release vehicle, the 2012 Tesla Model S, that he owned. But Rivian’s software can’t compare with what Tesla offers today, including its driver-assist software Autopilot, Barnhart and other owners said.

Tab Brewer, who says he’s been “blown away” by how good his Rivian is, says he wishes it came with Android Auto, in-vehicle infotainment software that he says is superior to what Rivian is offering now. Several owners say they’ve seen Rivian’s software improve from over-the-air updates in recent months, and are hopeful for continued upgrades, including the vehicle’s navigation, which many say they don’t use.

Tesla also has a more robust charging network that’s suited to long road trips, owners said. For those who are charging exclusively at home, they say it’s not an issue.

Mike Feehley, who lives outside Charlotte, North Carolina, says when he drove his new R1T to an antique car show with his son, more people gathered around his truck than the classic cars.

“Guys were coming up saying these are the cleanest lines they’ve ever seen on a truck,” Feehley said.

Feehley and other Rivian owners say it’s common to get questions from curious onlookers in parking lots, or to have people in cars driving alongside them taking pictures.

Rivian too is keeping a close eye on its vehicles. Feehley said the indicator and warning lights started flashing on his truck, and the power flickered. He posted about it on a third-party online forum for Rivian owners and was surprised to get a call from the automaker telling him they’d find a time to pick up the truck and get it fixed. He said Rivian reached out to him again when he posted a video of water in his door.

Some Rivian owners who spoke with CNN Business wondered if the automaker will be able to maintain the quality of service and wait times as it scales production. Rivian plans to produce 25,000 vehicles this year after delivering fewer than 5,000 vehicles in the second quarter of the year.

Rivian owners describe being unwilling to ever sell their trucks.

Rivian owners describe being so satisfied with their vehicles that they’ve passed on opportunities to sell their vehicles immediately after purchase and earn a profit of tens of thousands of dollars.

Ross Gale describes himself as a business guy with “very little attachment to any material object.”

He says he’s owned dozens of cars and flipped many for profit during the Covid pandemic as vehicle prices soared. But he won’t be selling his R1T.

As Gale puts it, “Every time I see one for sale I say to myself, ‘How could somebody do this?’”

Europe now has so much natural gas that prices just dipped below zero

Europe now has so much natural gas that prices just dipped below zero


London
CNN Small business
 — 

Europe has more natural gas than it is familiar with what to do with. So a great deal, in actuality, that spot selling prices briefly went adverse earlier this week.

For months, officials have warned of an energy disaster this wintertime as Russia — after the region’s most important provider of all-natural fuel — slashed materials in retaliation for sanctions Europe imposed in excess of its invasion of Ukraine.

Now, EU gasoline storage amenities are shut to whole, tankers carrying liquefied natural fuel (LNG) are lining up at ports, not able to unload their cargoes, and price ranges are tumbling.

The selling price of benchmark European natural fuel futures has dropped 20{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} since past Thursday, and by additional than 70{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} considering that hitting a history large in late August. On Monday, Dutch fuel location rates for supply inside an hour — which mirror true time European current market situations — dipped beneath €0, in accordance to details from the Intercontinental Trade.

Charges turned adverse due to the fact of an “oversupplied grid,” Tomas Marzec-Manser, head of gasoline analytics at the Independent Commodity Intelligence Solutions (ICIS), told CNN Business.

It is a massively astonishing flip of situations for Europe, where homes and organizations have been clobbered by eye-watering rises in the selling price of one particular of its most critical power sources in excess of the previous yr.

Massimo Di Odoardo, vice president of fuel and LNG study at Wood Mackenzie, says unseasonably gentle temperature is mainly responsible for the spectacular change in fortune.

“In international locations like Italy, Spain, France, we’re looking at temperatures and [gas] use nearer to August and early September [levels],” he explained to CNN Small business. “Even in nations around the world in the Nordics, the Uk and Germany, use is way down below the typical for this time of the 12 months,” he additional.

The European Union has also created substantial buffers against any even more supply cuts by filling fuel storage services close to ability. Stores are now just about 94{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} whole, in accordance to data from Gasoline Infrastructure Europe. That’s properly previously mentioned the 80{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} focus on the bloc established international locations to access by November.

“That’s an incredibly high amount,” Di Odoardo reported, noting that the maximum storage degree averaged 87{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} of capability about the earlier 5 years.

Europe’s endeavours to secure as much gasoline forward of wintertime as achievable has caused a backlog of LNG tankers at European ports, built even worse by a scarcity of LNG import terminals.

The bloc has ramped up imports of LNG from the United States and Qatar as natural gasoline imports from Russia plummeted.

Felix Booth, head of LNG at knowledge company Vortexa, informed CNN Company that as several as 35 vessels are either floating in the vicinity of, or sailing incredibly slowly but surely to, ports in northwestern Europe and the Iberian peninsula due to the fact of a deficiency of storage selections.

These ships will “likely just take a further month to obtain property for the cargoes,” he claimed.

Together, they’re carrying about $2 billion worthy of of LNG, in accordance to Kpler, citing vitality market place data supplier Argus Media.

Irrespective of the new slump, at about €100 ($100) for each megawatt hour European natural gasoline futures are even now 126{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} previously mentioned where they have been previous Oct, when economies commenced to reopen from their pandemic lockdowns and demand from customers spiked.

Prices could rise sharply all over again in December and January as the weather conditions turns colder, delivering an incentive for some of all those tankers to wait offshore a when more time prior to coming into port to unload, said Booth.

And irrespective of the simple fact that Russia’s share of Europe’s total fuel imports has fallen from 40{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} to just 9{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809}, the location could be in a tricky place following summer as it attempts to replenish its shops ahead of the adhering to winter.

Selling prices are expected to strike €150 ($150) per megawatt hour by the conclusion of 2023, explained Invoice Weatherburn, a commodities economist at Capital Economics.

“Filling storage ahead of subsequent winter season will call for the EU to import even extra LNG due to the fact there is a need to have to exchange misplaced Russian gasoline imports for an full 12 months,” he instructed CNN Business.