Food prices are soaring, and that’s changed how we eat

Food prices are soaring, and that’s changed how we eat


New York
CNN Business
 — 

Lisa Altman used to take pride in being able to eat what she wanted without worrying much about the cost.

When she was growing up, seconds weren’t served and side dishes were rare. “My mom had a budget every week, and she stuck to it,” she said. “As I got older and became more financially independent, having a full pantry and being able to eat what I wanted was a sign of success for me,” she added.

“It was very humbling to have to go from that situation to where we’re at right now.”

Altman and her wife live in Austin, Texas with their three children. Recently, they’ve been relying mostly on one income. Their reduced earnings, coupled with inflation, have dealt a blow to their finances.

And that has changed, radically, the way they eat. Altman is not alone in making big changes.

We asked CNN readers how inflation has impacted their eating habits, and many mentioned dining out less often, buying less meat and giving up splurges. Some said they are very worried about the future.

Food prices have spiked 11.4{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} over the past year, the largest annual increase since May 1979, according to data released in mid-September by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Grocery prices jumped 13.5{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} and restaurant menu prices increased 8{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} in that period.

With food prices soaring, people are changing how they shop and eat.

Consumers are responding by looking for deals and switching to generic brands, according to July data from the market research firm IRI. Companies like Tyson

(TSN)
have noticed customers are switching from beef to chicken, and Applebee’s and IHOP have reported an uptick in higher-income customers who are likely trading down from pricier restaurants. Some people may be dining out less often, or avoiding restaurants altogether.

For those who struggled to buy food even before prices shot up, rising costs could mean falling into food insecurity, a state of unreliable access to affordable food.

“If food prices continue to increase at a rate that outpaces increases in wages, that is the inevitable consequence,” said Jayson Lusk, head of the agricultural economics department at Purdue University. “The last time we had a big run up in food insecurity rates was in the wake of the Great Recession.” Last year, about 10.2{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} of US households were food insecure, according to the USDA, slightly below the 10.5{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} rate in 2020 and 2019.

Even for those not at risk of hunger, the surges in food prices are jarring.

Food “matters a lot to our self esteem, our mood,” said William Masters, a professor at Tufts University’ school of nutrition science and policy who is also a member of the economics department faculty. “Not being able to buy the foods that people are used to — that your children are asking for, that your family wants — that’s a really hard thing,” he said. “Any disruption of habit is very, very hard.”

Carol Ehrman taking a Thai cooking class over Zoom during the pandemic.

For Carol Ehrman, cooking is a joyful experience.

“I love to cook, it’s my favorite thing to do,” she said. She especially likes to cook Indian and Thai food, but stocking the spices and ingredients she needs for those dishes is no longer feasible. “When every ingredient has gone up, that adds up on the total bill,” she said.

“What used to cost us $250 to $300 … is now $400.” Ehrman, 60, and her husband, 65, rely on his social security income, and the increase was stretching their budget. “We just couldn’t do that.”

About six months ago, she realized she had to change the way she shops for groceries.

In an effort to bring their immediate costs down, Ehrman stopped shopping in bulk as often as she used to. Now, she hunts for sales, avoids buying beef, and opts for boxed wine instead of nice bottles when she buys wine at all. She’s also cooking simpler meals, and saying goodbye to dinner parties.

Ehrman haș even given up preparing basic items, like tomato sauce, because of the expense, opting instead for a pre-packaged version.

“I know that I can make it much healthier,” she said. And “it always tastes so much better.” Those fresh ingredients are just too pricey now.

Ehrman’s husband is retired due to chronic health problems, and it’s been difficult for her to work because of her own health issues — she recently had pacemaker and heart catheterization procedures. The couple, who live in Billings, Montana, were frugal before the current spike in prices, enjoying simple pleasures. But now, even those are out of reach.

“Before, we at least found joy in being home and having friends over and family over, cooking and sitting around the table and just being content,” she said. Now, “I’m not entertaining at all. It’s really sad.”

Local markets, generic brands help family save money on groceries

Rick Wichmann, 64, and his wife have been dining out less often in recent years, due to the pandemic and in an effort to eat healthier. With menu prices rising because of inflation, they see no reason to change their habits.

“Eating out is expensive,” he said, noting that he’s often happier with home-cooked meals than restaurant food anyway.

But grocery shopping is also more expensive. Over the past year, Wichmann noticed that he had been spending about 25{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} more shopping for groceries for himself, his wife and their son than he used to.

To help mitigate those costs, Wichmann, who lives in Brookline, Massachusetts, started going to different grocers. He avoids Whole Foods and Stop & Shop, opting instead for Costco and the local chain Market Basket.

He’s also switched to store brands, if he feels the quality is the same, and will sometimes choose products based on price rather than brand loyalty — like, for example, buying Pepsi when it’s cheaper, when he’d otherwise choose Coke.

Wichmann also pays attention to events like weather, and how they might affect prices. When he saw reports of a possible tomato shortage due to droughts in California, he took notice. The next time he saw tomato sauce on sale he stocked up on enough to last for months.

Turning to gardening to save money on food

Like Wichmann, Jenni Wells, 38, pays attention to weather patterns and food systems. A former chef and rancher, she noticed price increases well before the current bout of inflation.

“My alarm bells started going off for prices going up in 2019,” she said, when devastating floods in the midwest drowned livestock and destroyed grain stocks. Wells decided back then that she’d like to be more self sufficient.

“I saw the food prices going up, and I realized that it was going to quickly overwhelm our budget,” she said. So in February, she ripped up the grass in the front lawn of her home in Fort Worth, Texas, which she shares with her husband and best friend, and planted a vegetable garden.

“I just wanted to see what I could grow for myself,” she said. This year, she’s managed to grow broccoli, cauliflower, okra, tomatoes, peppers, squashes and more in her garden.

There are upfront and maintenance costs for the garden, of course. And it’s not easy to grow vegetables. But the household’s weekly grocery spending, excluding meat, has fallen from about $200 to $50, she said.

With the money left over, Wells and her household have been able to eat at restaurants, something that would have been “too much of a luxury” had they still been spending $200 a week on groceries. And there’s the satisfaction of growing your own food.

“There’s a huge sense of reward,” she said. “I feel pride in every meal that I make with it.”

A recent weekly grocery haul for Lisa Altman.

Some consumers have made changes because of current circumstances that they plan to hold onto.

Now, Altman, the Austin parent of three, aims to keep her grocery bill to about $100 to $125 per week by buying store brands, lots of pasta and a limited amount of protein each week.

Instead of ordering in or grilling steaks or ribs, Altman’s family eats more basic meals with smaller portions. “Now our meals consist of one primary dish, and that’s it, maybe some bread on the side, or a salad.” If they go out to eat, they’ll pick up a fast food meal with a few sides, like one burger and two fries, split the items and have beverages at home.

When Altman is able to afford it, she’ll go back to buying more fruits and veggies. But she’s hoping some habits, like encouraging her children to avoid mindless eating and reducing food waste, will stick.

“I’m not going to be spending $1,200 a month on groceries,” she said. “This has taught us that that’s not necessary.”

Soaring food and fuel prices are destabilizing countries on the brink

Soaring food and fuel prices are destabilizing countries on the brink


London
CNN Business
 — 

When individuals took to the streets in Egypt in 2011, protesters chanted about liberty and social justice — but also bread. The price of pantry staples experienced jumped mainly because of the skyrocketing price tag of merchandise like wheat, stoking fury with President Hosni Mubarak.

Now, more than a 10 years following the Arab Spring, world wide foods costs are soaring again. They had presently achieved their greatest amount on file earlier this yr as the pandemic, lousy temperature and the local climate disaster upended agriculture and threatened food safety for tens of millions of men and women. Then arrived Russia’s war in Ukraine, making the problem considerably worse — when also triggering a spike in the charge of the other daily important, fuel.

The blend could crank out a wave of political instability, as individuals who have been currently annoyed with govt leaders are pushed about the edge by rising costs.

“It is very worrisome,” reported Rabah Arezki, a senior fellow at Harvard’s Kennedy Faculty of Government and former main economist at the African Enhancement Lender.

Unrest in Sri Lanka, Pakistan and Peru about the past 7 days highlights the pitfalls. In Sri Lanka, protests have erupted over shortages of fuel and other standard items. Double-digit inflation in Pakistan has eroded guidance for Primary Minister Imran Khan, forcing him from business office. At minimum 6 persons have died in recent anti-authorities protests in Peru sparked by rising gasoline rates. But political conflict isn’t envisioned to be restricted to these international locations.

“I really do not believe folks have felt the comprehensive affect of growing costs just but,” mentioned Hamish Kinnear, a Center East and North Africa analyst at Verisk Maplecroft, a world wide risk consultancy.

In the operate-up to the anti-government protests that turned recognized as the Arab Spring — which began in Tunisia in late 2010 and unfold by means of the Center East and North Africa in 2011 — food costs had been climbing sharply. The Meals Cost Index from the United Nations’ Foods and Agriculture Organization arrived at 106.7 in 2010 and jumped to 131.9 in 2011, then a document.

“Mohamed Bouazizi didn’t set himself on hearth since he couldn’t website or vote,” an Emirati commentator wrote in January 2011, referring to the street seller whose protest act helped launch the revolution in Tunisia and, finally, the Arab environment. “People established themselves on fireplace since they simply cannot stand viewing their household wither absent bit by bit, not of sorrow, but of chilly stark hunger.”

Situations in personal nations around the world differed, but the greater photo was crystal clear. Surging wheat selling prices were being a major portion of the difficulty.

The scenario now is even even worse than it was then. Worldwide food items prices have just strike a new record significant. The FAO Foodstuff Value Index revealed Friday hit 159.3 in March, up nearly 13{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} from February. The war in Ukraine, a main exporter of wheat, corn and vegetable oils, as well as severe sanctions on Russia — a essential producer of wheat and fertilizer — is predicted to spur even more value improves in the coming months.

“Forty percent of wheat and corn exports from Ukraine go to the Middle East and Africa, which are by now grappling with starvation troubles, and in which additional foods shortages or cost will increase could stoke social unrest,” Gilbert Houngbo, head of the Worldwide Fund for Agricultural Development, claimed final month.

Introducing to the discomfort is the surge in vitality rates. World-wide oil selling prices are almost 60{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} larger than they were being a calendar year ago. The cost of coal and normal gas has spiked, as well.

Quite a few governments are struggling to guard their citizens, but fragile economies that borrowed seriously to make it by means of the 2008 economic disaster and the pandemic are most vulnerable. As expansion slows, hurting their currencies and creating it tougher to preserve up with credit card debt payments, retaining subsidies for foods and fuel will be hard, primarily if costs keep climbing.

“We are now in a condition where international locations are indebted,” Arezki stated. “As a final result, they have no buffers to test to consist of the tensions that will arise from this sort of higher selling prices.”

According to the Entire world Bank, shut to 60{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} of the poorest countries ended up “already in debt distress or at substantial chance of it” on the eve of the invasion of Ukraine.

Asia: In Sri Lanka, an island nation of 22 million, an economic and political disaster is already boiling about, with protesters getting to the streets in defiance of curfews and governing administration ministers stepping down en masse.

Grappling with high personal debt ranges and a weak overall economy reliant on tourism, Sri Lanka was pressured to run down its reserves of international currency. That prevented the governing administration from earning payments for key imports this kind of as power, building devastating shortages and forcing men and women to expend several hours lining up for fuel.

Its leaders have also devalued its forex, the Sri Lankan rupee, as they try to protected a bailout from the International Monetary Fund. But that just produced inflation even worse at home. In January, it achieved 14{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809}, nearly double the price of selling price will increase in the United States.

Pakistan’s parliament issued a vote of no self-assurance in Khan on Sunday, ousting him from electric power and upending his federal government. Though his political problems day back decades, claims of financial mismanagement as the price tag of food items and gas leaped, as properly as the depletion of international trade reserves, created matters even worse.

“The extent of financial chaos has united opposition to Imran Khan,” Kinnear of Verisk Maplecroft explained.

Center East and Africa: Gurus are also watching for symptoms of political distress in other nations around the world in the Center East that are closely dependent on food items imports from the Black Sea area, and usually present generous subsidies to the general public.

In Lebanon, where nearly a few-quarters of the population was residing in poverty past 12 months as the final result of a political and financial collapse, concerning 70{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} and 80{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} of imported wheat comes from Russia and Ukraine. Important grain silos had been also wrecked throughout the 2020 explosion at the Beirut port.

And Egypt, the world’s biggest buyer of wheat, is already observing great stress on its large subsidy software for bread. The nation just lately set a fixed price tag for unsubsidized bread just after selling prices spiked, and is making an attempt to secure wheat imports from nations like India and Argentina as an alternative.

With an approximated 70{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} of the world’s inadequate living in Africa, the continent will also be “very exposed” to mounting food stuff and electrical power price ranges, Arezki claimed.

Droughts and conflict in countries like Ethiopia, Somalia, South Sudan and Burkina Faso have established a meals protection crisis for more than a quarter of the continent’s population, the Worldwide Committee of the Crimson Cross claimed this 7 days. The predicament risks getting even worse in the coming months, it continued.

Political instability has by now been setting up in parts of the continent. A sequence of coups have taken put in West and Central Africa due to the fact the start of 2021.

Europe: Even countries with a lot more created economies, which have higher buffers to defend citizens from unpleasant value increases, won’t have the resources to absolutely cushion the blow.

1000’s of protesters collected in towns throughout Greece this 7 days to demand from customers increased wages to counter inflation, when France’s presidential election is narrowing as far-suitable prospect Marine Le Pen performs up her strategies to decrease the value of residing. President Emmanuel Macron’s government reported past thirty day period it was considering issuing foodstuff vouchers so that center and reduced-earnings families could afford to pay for to take in.

— Jessie Yeung, Rhea Mogul and Sophia Saifi contributed reporting.

Why are US gas prices soaring when America barely uses Russian oil?

Why are US gas prices soaring when America barely uses Russian oil?

Puzzled? We will stroll you by way of it.

Most of Russia’s oil goes to Europe and Asia. But the key listed here is to imagine about the oil offer globally, alternatively than the US specially. The commodities globe is a intensely interconnected just one, and oil is priced by a world wide market. So what happens in one particular space of the entire world can have an impact on another.

The trouble at hand is that Russia is a person of the world’s biggest oil suppliers. In December, for illustration, Russia despatched just about 8 million barrels of oil and other petroleum items to world-wide marketplaces, such as 5 million barrels of the crude oil that’s applied to make gasoline between other products.
And sure, it really is accurate that incredibly very little of that Russian supply goes to the United States — just 90,000 barrels of crude oil for each working day in December, according to the most latest US governing administration studies.

In 2021, by contrast, Europe got 60{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809} of Russia’s oil exports and China obtained 20{cfdf3f5372635aeb15fd3e2aecc7cb5d7150695e02bd72e0a44f1581164ad809}.

But don’t forget that oil is purchased and transported all over the entire world through a world-wide commodities market place. So in that feeling it will not truly make any difference who exclusively is obtaining crunched by the loss of Russian oil, since lessen offer influences these global price ranges no make a difference what. And as we know from Econ 101, when there is significantly less offer of an merchandise in demand from customers, rates increase.

For example, if Europe buys a lot less Russian oil, it will have to switch it with oil from someplace else — probably from the strong Saudi Arabia-led Business of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. That raise in demand for OPEC oil will send its crude prices larger. And guess who else buys hundreds of millions of barrels of OPEC oil?

You guessed it: the United States.

Why is there a lot less Russian supply, anyway?

At initial the West, including the US, exempted Russian oil and normal fuel from the sanctions they levied. The Biden administration reversed program on that on Tuesday, banning Russian oil and other gasoline imports to the US, whilst the British isles said it will phase out Russian oil imports by the conclude of the 12 months. (The EU is in a more durable spot on this, due to the fact they are considerably more dependent on Russian oil.)
But the initial deficiency of formal bans didn’t really subject in terms of charges anyway. There is certainly been a de facto ban on Russian oil considering the fact that the invasion began, with most of the country’s offer sitting unsold.
As a consequence, the principal sort of oil that Russia exports into Europe is currently being offered for sale at a important discounted due to the fact nobody would like it. JPMorgan recently believed a lot more than 4 million barrels for every working day of Russian oil has been effectively sidelined.

So traders are in essence pricing oil as if Russia’s offer isn’t really obtainable at all. And once more, a lot less provide = bigger selling prices.

Why are not able to other countries pump out a lot more?

Very good previous Covid strikes once again. No one desired oil in normal in spring 2020, when worldwide continue to be-at-home orders meant no person essential to gasoline up and get to the office environment. With need cratering, oil costs did much too — even briefly trading at detrimental prices.
In switch OPEC+ greatly slice production to assistance price ranges. And they’ve stored generation targets very low because then, only step by step incorporating back again creation, even when demand for oil and gasoline bounced back again quicker than predicted.

Guess who’s section of OPEC+? Russia. So yeah, OPEC+ isn’t hurrying to the rescue. The Saudis have built crystal crystal clear for months, even before the invasion, that the group will not system to open up up the oil faucets whenever quickly.

That iron solve might or may possibly not be cracking, nonetheless. In a person baffling progress this 7 days, the United Arab Emirates’ ambassador to Washington informed CNN that the region wishes to maximize oil manufacturing and will inspire its companions in OPEC+ to do so. But later on the UAE’s minister of energy and infrastructure tweeted that the nation will to adhere to its OPEC+ agreement and steadily increase output.

And then, the Iraqi oil ministry mentioned its leaders met and agreed its OPEC+ partners should equilibrium source and demand to stabilize the sector. At this place, who is familiar with.

Why are not able to US oil providers ramp up manufacturing, then?

Russia was the No. 2 oil producer in the planet in 2021, pumping out 9.7 million barrels a working day — but the US is No. 1 with 10.2 million. American corporations do not abide by all those OPEC-model, nationally mandated output targets. But US oil producers cannot or would not fill the supply hole, even although they could make a mint presented the superior prices and need.
Again below, Covid strikes. Like numerous industries during the pandemic, oil producers are having difficulties to discover staffers and resource specialised devices. In the meantime, US oil corporations are even now smarting from the ache of that important oil bust in 2020, which kicked off a flurry of bankruptcies. Significant oil companies’ inventory performances have lagged the broader market place considering the fact that then as well. And as makers of fossil fuels, they are wary that foreseeable future environmental guidelines could hurt upcoming demand from customers for oil.
All of the above underscores how oil and fuel price ranges are tied to geopolitical occasions, the pandemic, drilling logistics and so substantially much more. And it adds up to common US gas rates earlier mentioned $4.33 a gallon as of Friday.

In short, it is all a straightforward situation of supply and demand from customers. But of class it truly is hardly ever actually so simple.

— CNN Business’ Chris Isidore and Matt Egan contributed reporting.